
SELECTED STUDIES
Section Editor: Prof. Talaat I. Farag
Prediction of genetically predisposed people to Renal Failure
M. A. E. F. Abd Allah
, A. M. Hany* , II. El-Sherief* , I, Abd El-Baset**
*Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University **Faculty of Medicine Souhag University
The majority of us have streptococcal infection in our throats , nevertheless only a small percentage may continue to Renal Failure (RF). If diagnosed at the predisposition level (before clinical or histopathological lesions may have occurred) , methods that can rescue them – even if not known now- can open in the future as a self –perpetuating science.
It was suggested ( Abd Allah et al ,2004)(1 and 2) to draw Dermatoglyphic Maps (DM), for chronic diseases in order to predict cases too early for best prevention and cure . Dermatoglyphic prints (DP) are highly genetically controlled . Once formed in the first few months in Intrauterine life , DP remain unchanged till death. Dermatoglyphics may form a genetic dictionary and may uncover the vital relations between organs and may develop a new perfect method for classifying human diseases and has a great impact on its prevention and treatment.
Methods :
259 patient 0n end stage renal failure patients on regular kidney washes, in both Assiut and Souhage were hand printed "Abd Allah et al., 2004 ", read and statistically analysed using a SPSS program ,using the classification –Discrimination analysis module. It derives estimates of multivariate nature translated to a monovariable reading according to the formula: L = B1X1+ B2X2+--------------BpXp
A cut –off point is estimated as:
1/2(L1mean+L2mean) = constant + B1(X11mean+X12mean)/2 + B2(X2mean+XX21+X22)/2---------Bp(Xp1mean + Xp2)/2
1/2(L1mean+L2mean) =B0
250 patients for whom Renal functions were proved to be within normal limits were included as control subjects(urea blood level is within 40 mgm per decalitre.).
B0 is calculated for all categories( males both hands , females both hands, right hand males , left hand males , Right hand females and lastly left hand females) in order to find the best combination which can discriminate between Renal Failure patients and normal people.
In every case –if calculated Bp is greater than B0 of the same combination ,predisposition to renal failure is accepted as positive.
Results :
Table I shows the Eigen values , canonical correlations , Wilke`s Lambda and Q-square findings for every discriminating combination
Table II shows the Classification coeffiecints ,using the calculated Bos for every combination . It do show that the best combinations are for both hands males and females. Right hands combination for males and females are less efficient , but left hand combinations are poor.
Table III Shows the formulae for calculation of B0s for anyone combination of Discriminating variables in the formulae. If calculated B0 is greater than the reference B0 ,genetic predisposition to Renal failure irrespective of the patient age, is looked at as positive. Any length of time before the occurrence of renal failure should be utilized to investigate and search for aggressive prevention and treatment whenever possible.
Discussion:
The use of Discriminamt analysis to formulate the function that can discriminate between normals and RF patients – on the level of computer precision – is an optimal method because:
Abstract:
259 cases of end-stage Renal Failure (RF) patients in Assiut and Souhage university hospitals and 250 control cases (for whom there was proved good renal functions ), were hand printed. Dermatoglyphic records were read and feed to computer with an SPSS program using the Classification-Discrimination module.
The B0 for both hands for males and females, can be used for the screening of suspected persons. B0 calculation for either males or females can be used but yielding less powerful results.
It is expected that if all diseases especially chronic diseases ,if investigated by the Dermatoglyphic method described , and their B0 calculated , it can open the door for a new anatomically based classification of human morbidity , a new world of investigations ; for human well-being and Health, preventive and therapeutic .Human Dermatoglyphic Diseases Maps (HDDM) could be established and could be used as the low power of the microscope , leaving the highly costly gene tests for well-developed countries with great funds to act as the high power of the microscope (see abd allah,et al.2005). HDDM can help to aggregate gene groups for better characterization by sophisticated gene methods.
References:
Appendix :
Table I: Prediction of Renal Failure

Table II: Prediction of Renal Failure

Table III: Prediction of Renal Failure

Prof. Dr. Mohamed A.E.F.Abd Allah, CSc.
Faculty of Medicine, Assiut University, Egypt. Email: Fatah1935@yahoo.com.
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